In November, voters across the country will head to the polls in the first large-scale referendum on President Biden’s first term in office. And history tells us
Biden’s current approval rating could spell absolute trouble for the Democratic Party at the ballot box. With a slew of high-profile Democratic retirements
, it seems many are reading the writing on the wall. Will the steady stream of departures continue? And ultimately, if conventional wisdom holds (and Biden’s approval rating stays low
) how large will the GOP’s margins be on Election Day?
1. Covid’s relentless impact